Currency
Day trading
Day trading refers to
the practice of buying and selling financial instruments within the
same trading day such that all positions will usually (not necessarily
always) be closed before the market close of the trading day. Traders
performing day trading are called daytraders.
Some of the more
commonly day-traded financial instruments are stocks, stock options,
currencies, and a host of futures contracts such as equity index
futures, interest rate futures, and commodity futures.
SEC warnings
According to the US Securities and Exchange Commission, "most
individual investors do not have the wealth, the time, or the
temperament to make money and to sustain the devastating losses that
day trading can bring."
They list several facts that every daytrader should know...
"Be prepared to suffer severe financial losses
Day traders typically suffer severe financial losses in their first
months of trading, and many never graduate to profit-making status."
"Day traders do not 'invest'"
"Day trading is an extremely stressful and expensive full-time job"
"Day traders depend heavily on borrowing money or buying stocks on
margin
Borrowing money to trade in stocks is always a risky business."
"Don't believe claims of easy profits"
"Watch out for 'hot tips' and 'expert advice' from newsletters and
websites catering to day traders"
"Remember that "educational" seminars, classes, and books about day
trading may not be objective"
"Check out day trading firms with your state securities regulator"
Trade frequency
Although collectively called day trading, there are many sub-trading
styles within the whole "day trading" tree. A day trader is not
necessarily very active. Depending on one's trading strategy, it may
range from several to even a hundred orders a day.
Some day traders focus on very short or short-term trading, in which a
trade may last seconds to a few minutes. They buy and sell for many
times, making very high trading volume daily and receiving very deep
discounts from the brokerage.
Some day traders focus on momentum or trend only. They are more patient
and wait for a ride on the strong move which may occur on that day.
They make far fewer trades than the above said day traders.
Overnight positions
Traditionally it is suggested day traders should always settle their
positions before the market close of the trading day to avoid the risk
of price gaps (price differences between previous close and next day
open that it looks like a "gap" between price activities) at the open.
Some day traders consider this as a golden rule which have to stick
with firmly and strictly all the time.
It is thought this rule goes against traditional market wisdom, "let
the profit run". Prematurely closing a position is equal to not letting
your profits run. Thus some day traders advocate it is okay to stay
with a position after the market close as long as it is stilling a
winning position with the trend on your side.
Some day traders borrow money to day trade. Since margin interests are
typically only charged on overnight balances, the extra costs
discourage them to hold positions overnight.
Very risky
Due to the nature of leverage and rapid returns, day trading can be
extremely profitable and high-risk profile traders can generate huge
percentage returns. Some day traders can manage to earn millions per
year solely by day trading.
Nevertheless day trading can become very risky, especially if one has
poor discipline, risk or money management.
The common use of buying on margin (using borrowed funds) amplifies
gains and losses, such that substantial losses or gains can occur in a
very short period of time. In addition, a broker usually allow more
margins for daytraders. Where overnight margin required to hold a stock
position is normally 50% of the stock's value, many brokers allow
pattern day trader accounts to use levels as low as 25% for intraday
purchases. That means even a day trader with the minimum $25,000 in his
account can buy $100,000 worth of stock during the day, as long as half
of those positions are exited before the market close. Thus a day
trader has to admit mistakes quickly and cut losses fast when the
market goes against a position.
It is commonly stated that 80-90% of day traders lose money. An
analysis of the Taiwanese stock market suggests that "less than 20% of
day traders earn profits net of transaction costs".
Popularity
Day trading used to be the preserve of financial firms, professionals,
some savvy private investors and speculators. Many day traders are
professional bank or investment firms employees working as specialists
in equity investment and fund management.
One of the first steps made day trading of shares potentially more
profitable is to change commission scheme. In 1975, the Securities and
Exchange Commission made fixed commissions illegal, giving rise to
discount brokers offering much reduced commission rates.
Electronic developments further helped to promote day trading. One
important step in facilitating day trading was, therefore, the founding
in 1971 of NASDAQ -- a virtual stock exchange on which orders were
transmitted electronically. Moving from paper share certificates and
written share registers to "dematerialized" shares, computerized
trading and registration required not only extensive changes to
legislation but also the development of the necessary technology:
online and real time systems rather than batch; electronic
communications rather than the postal service, telex or the physical
shipment of computer tapes; the development of secure cryptographic
algorithms etc. All have been materialized.
Day trading has become increasingly popular among casual traders due to
the advance in technology, new facilities offered cheaply, and the
popularity of the Internet.
History
Execution process
To understand how day trading has evolved, one must understand how
stocks were traditionally bought and sold. Originally, the most
important US stocks were traded on the New York Stock Exchange. A
trader would telephone a stockbroker, who would relay the order to a
specialist on the floor of the NYSE. These specialists would each make
markets in only one to five stocks. The specialist would match the
purchaser with another broker's seller; write up physical tickets that,
once processed, would effectively transfer the stock; and relay the
information back to both brokers. Brokerage commissions were fixed at
1% of the amount of the trade, i.e. to purchase $10,000 worth of stock
cost the buyer $100 in commissions.
Financial settlement period
Financial settlement periods used to be long: Before the early 1990s at
the London Stock Exchange, for example, one could buy a stock one day,
and only pay for it as much as 10 working days later, rather than
paying for shares one could sell before the end of the settlement
period reaping the profit or suffering the loss - the difference
between the purchase and sale prices. Similarly, with a cooperative
broker, one could sell shares at the beginning of a settlement period
only to buy them before the end of the period hoping for a fall in
price. This activity then was identical to day trading now, except for
the duration of the settlement period. Nowadays the settlement period
is typically "same day".
The reason settlement periods were reduced was to reduce market risk.
Safe title is only ensured upon settlement. One's counterparty is much
more likely to default if the price moves significantly against the
counterparty. Reducing the settlement period reduces the likelihood of
default. Reducing the settlement period was impossible until electronic
transfer of ownership became possible.
Electronic Communication Networks
Thereafter, the systems by which stocks are traded have evolved along
with the home computer and the internet. A number of Electronic
Communication Networks (ECNs) began to form. These were essentially
large proprietary computer networks on which brokers could list a
certain amount of securities to sell at a certain price (the asking
price or "ask") or offer to buy a certain amount of securities at a
certain price (the "bid"). The first of these was Instinet. Instinet or
"inet"[6] was founded in 1969 as a way for major institutions to bypass
the increasingly cumbersome and expensive NYSE, and also allowing them
to trade during hours when the exchanges were closed. Ironically, early
ECNs such as Instinet were very unfriendly to small investors, because
they tended to give large institutions better prices than were
available to the public. This resulted in a fragmented and sometimes
illiquid market.
The reason for this was that "market makers" had very few obligations
to the public. A market-maker is the NASDAQ equivalent of a NYSE
specialist. It has an inventory of stocks to buy and sell, and
simultaneously offers to buy and sell the same stock. Obviously, it
will offer to sell stock at a higher price than the price at which it
offers to buy. This difference is known as the "spread". A pure
market-maker will not care if the price of a stock goes up or down, as
it has enough stock and capital to constantly buy for less than it
sells. Today there are about 500 firms who participate as market-makers
on ECNs, each generally making a market in four to forty different
stocks.
Without any legal obligations, market-makers were free to offer smaller
spreads on ECNs than on the NASDAQ. A small investor might have to pay
a $0.25 spread (e.g. he might have to pay $10.50 to buy a share of
stock but could only get $10.25 to sell it), while an institution would
only pay a $0.05 spread (buying at $10.40 and selling at $10.35).
Technology bubble (1997-2000)
In 1997, the SEC adopted "Order Handling Rules" which required
market-makers to publish their best bid and ask on the NASDAQ.
The existing ECNs did an about-face and began to offer their services
to small investors. New brokerage firms began to emerge which
specialized in serving online traders who wanted to trade on the ECNs.
New ECNs also arose, most importantly Archipelago (arca) and Island
(isld). Archipelago eventually became a stock exchange and in 2005 was
purchased by the NYSE. (At this time, the NYSE has proposed merging
Archipelago with itself, although some resistance has arisen from NYSE
members.) Commissions plummeted; in an extreme example (1000 shares of
Google), in 2005 an online trader might buy $300,000 of stock at a
commission of about $10, as opposed to the $3,000 commission he would
have paid in 1974. Moreover, the trader would be able to buy the stock
almost instantly and would get it at a cheaper price.
ECNs are in constant flux. New ones are formed, while existing ones are
bought or merge. As of the end of 2005, the most important ECNs to the
individual trader are Instinet (which bought Island in 2005),
Archipelago (although technically it is now an exchange rather than an
ECN), and The Brass Utility ("brut"), as well as the SuperDot
electronic system now used by the NYSE.
This combination of factors has made day trading in stocks and stock
derivatives (such as ETFs) possible. The low commission rates allow an
individual or small firm to make a large numbers of trades during a
single day. The liquidity and small spreads provided by ECNs allow an
individual to make near-instantaneous trades and to get favorable
pricing. High-volume issues such as Intel or Microsoft generally have a
spread of only $0.01, so the price only needs to move a few pennies for
the trader to cover his commission costs and show a profit.
The ability for individuals to day trade coincided with the extreme
bull market in technical issues from 1997 to early 2000, known as the
Dot-com bubble. From 1997 to 2000, the NASDAQ rose from 1200 to 5000.
Many naive investors with little market experience made huge amounts of
profits by buying these stocks in the morning and selling them in the
afternoon, at 400% margin rates.
Adding to the day-trading frenzy were the enormous profits made by the
"SOES bandits". (Unlike the new day traders, these individuals were
highly-experienced professional traders able to exploit the arbitrage
opportunity created by SOES.)
In March, 2000, this bubble burst, and a large number of
less-experienced day traders began to lose money as fast, or faster,
than they had made during the buying frenzy. The NASDAQ crashed from
5000 back to 1200; many of the less-experienced traders went broke.
Techniques
There are six common basic strategies by which day traders attempt to
make a profit: Trend following, playing news events, range trading,
scalping, technical trading, and covering spreads. In addition to or
instead of these, some day traders instead use Contrarian (reverse)
strategies (more commonly seen in Algorithmic trading) to trade
specifically against irrational behaviour from day traders using these
approaches. Some of these approaches require shorting stocks instead of
buying them normally.
Trend following
Main articles: Trend following and Trend trading
Trend following, a strategy used in all trading time frames, assumes
that financial instruments which have been rising steadily will
continue to rise, and vice versa. The trend follower buys an instrument
which has been rising, or short-sells a falling one, in the expectation
that the trend will continue.
Range trading
A range trader watches a stock that has been rising off a support price
and falling off a resistance price. That is, every time the stock hits
a high, it falls back to the low, and vice versa. Such a stock is said
to be "trading in a range", which the opposite of trending. The range
trader therefore buys the stock at or near the low price, and sells
(and possibly short sells) at the high. A related approach to range
trading is looking for moves outside of an established range, called a
breakout (price moves up) or a breakdown (price moves down), and assume
that once the range has been broken prices will continue in that
direction for some time.
Playing news
Playing news is primarily the realm of the day trader. The basic
strategy is to buy a stock which has just announced good news, or short
sell on bad news. Such events provide enormous volatility in a stock
and therefore the greatest chance for quick profits (or losses).
Determining whether news is "good" or "bad" must be determined by the
price action of the stock, because the market reaction may not match
tone of the news itself. The most common cause for this is when rumors
or estimates of the event (like those issued by market and industry
analysts) were already circulated before the official release, and
prices have already moved in anticipation. The news is said to be
already "priced-in" to the stock price.
Scalping
Main article: scalping (trading)
Scalping originally referred to spread trading. Scalping is a trading
style which arbitrage for small price gaps created by the bid-ask
spread. It normally involves establishing and liquidating a position
quickly, usually within minutes to even seconds.
Shorting stocks
About 75% of all trades are to the upside. The trader buys it and
expect it to rise, because of the stock market's historical tendency to
rise and because there are no technical limitations on it.
About 25% of equity trades, however, are short sales. The trader
borrows stock from his broker and sells the borrowed stock, hoping that
the price will fall and he will be able to purchase the shares at a
lower price. There are several technical problems with short sales: the
broker may not have shares to lend in a specific issue, some short
sales can only be made if the stock price or bid has just risen (known
as an "uptick"), and the broker can call for return of its shares at
any time. Some of these restrictions (in particular the uptick rule)
don't apply to trades of stocks that are actually shares of an
exchange-traded fund (ETF).
Keys of success
Day trading is never intended to be an easy game. It is a very
difficult game in which 80-90% of day traders lose. In order to be
successful in day trading, one should satisfy the following
requirements:
Trader's Requirements:
Good Mentality - Day trading is a mentally and psychologically
challenging activity and is by no means meant for everyone
Quick Decision-making - one needs to think very quickly in order to
make prompt and correct decisions.
Fast Reaction - even if one can spot on opportunities very quickly, it
needs fast hands to execute your decisions. Opportunities can be missed
within a second in a rapid market.
Discipline - Day trading requires strong discipline, or one will easily
deviate from what one plans beforehand
Risk and money management - good risk and money management helps to
minimize losses and maximize profits. Some may suggest one should limit
their losses to no more than 2-5% of the working capital on a single
trade. An Anti-Martingale approach to money management will reduce the
chance of devastating losses.
Technical Analysis - Technical analysis is required to gain a winning
edge in the day trading world. Fundamental analysis has nothing to do
with predicting daily or short-term price movements.
Facilities Requirements:
Enough Capital - At least US$25,000 is required for US citizens
according to the US National Association of Securities Dealers, Inc.
(NASD) Rule. Accounts with significantly more balances are better
because this can help day traders to withstand a period of drawdown
from a series of bad trades, and to allow some diversification among
strategies.
Advanced Facilitates and tools - Many day traders use computers,
technical analysis software and the Internet as their main working
tools.
Direct access to the exchange - They need direct access trading systems
to facilitate their trades. They need to know to route their orders to
get the fastest executions and the best prices.
Costs
The financial market is not a zero-sum game as some people may
describe. It is actually a negative-sum game due to transaction costs.
A loser who gives out $100 may transfer only, say, $98 to the winner,
of which $2 are eaten by transaction costs (eg commissions, exchange
fees, data feed and so on).
To succeed in day trading, one needs not only a winning trading edge,
but also reasonable cost control, or the costs will eat up your profits.
Trading equipment
Some day trading strategies (including scalping and arbitrage) require
relatively sophisticated trading systems and software. Many day traders
use multiple monitors or even multiple computers to execute their
approaches.
A fast Internet connection like Broadband is a must for day traders.
Brokerage
Day traders do not use retail brokers. They are slow to execute trades,
and for the scale of order size the typical day trader operates on the
commissions are high. What day traders prefer are direct-access brokers
who allows the trader to send their orders directly to the ECNs instead
of indirectly through brokers. Direct-access trading offers substantial
improvements in transaction speed and will usually result in better
trade execution prices (reducing costs of trading).
Commissions
Commissions in direct-access brokers are calculated based on volume.
The more one trades, the cheaper the commission is. Where a retail
broker might charge $10 or more per trade regardless of size, a typical
direct-access broker can charge as cheap as $0.004 per share traded, or
$0.25 per futures contracts. A scalper can easily cover that cost even
with a minimal gain.
As to the calculation method, some use pro-rata to calculate
commissions and charges, where each tier of volumes charge different
commissions. Other brokers use a flat-rate, where all commissions
charges are based on which volume threshold one reaches.
Market data
Real-time market data is necessary for day traders, rather than using
the delayed market data (from about 10 to 60 minutes of delays per
exchange rules[9]) that is available for free. A real-time data feed
requires paying fees to the respective stock exchanges, usually
combined into whatever fee the broker charges; these fees are usually
very low relative to other costs of trading. The fees may be waived for
promotional purposes or for customers meeting a minimum monthly volume
of trades. Even a moderately active day trader can expect to meet these
requirements, making the basic data feed essentially "free".
In addition to the raw market data, some traders purchase more advanced
data feeds that include better historical data and features like
scanning large numbers of stocks in the live market for unusual
activity. Complicated analysis and charting software are other popular
additions. These types of systems can cost anywhere from tens to
hundreds of dollars per month to access.
Spreads
See also: Scalping
Most worldwide markets operate on a Bid and ask based system. The
numerical difference between the bid and ask prices is referred to as
the spread between them.
The ask prices are immediate execution (market) prices for quick buyers
(ask takers); bid prices for quick sellers (bid takers). If a trade is
executed at market prices, closing that trade immediately without
queuing would not get you back the amount paid because of the bid/ask
difference.
Spread is 2 sides of the same coin. The spread can be viewed as trading
bonuses or costs according to different parties and different
strategies. On one hand, traders who do NOT wish to queue their order,
instead paying the market price, pay the spreads (costs). On the other
hand, traders who wish to queue and wait for execution receive the
spreads (bonuses). Some day trading strategies attempt to capture the
spread as additional, or even the only, profits for successful trades.
Views of day traders
Day traders, with modern technology and recent regulatory changes
(within the last 15 years), have cut in on the market makers' business
action and taken a piece of the pie for themselves. Some see this as
causing frustration amongst investment banks, who are thought to vilify
day traders in the press. Day traders are sometimes portrayed as
"bandits" or "gamblers" which is thought to discourage others from
joining in on the activity.
On the other hand, others see the phenomenon of day traders as
primarily created by the stock brokerage community, in order to get
people to constantly trade more stocks, and to thereby pay more
commissions. These critics see this as applying to business news and
stations such as CNBC, which is seen as relevant primarily to day
traders.
Lastly, some argue that day traders serve a valuable purpose by
contributing liquidity to the marketplace. In the course of entering
many buy and sell orders throughout the day, day traders add to the
number of people who want to either buy or sell a security, and
therefore increase the number of shares bid or offered. In addition,
day traders might even help to move a particular security closer to
market equilibrium (the point at which supply and demand are equally
balanced, or the "true" price of a security) by reducing
over-corrections in price. As a security moves up in price too rapidly,
for example, a day trader might step in and short the security, thereby
providing some downward pressure. If a security moves down in price too
rapidly, a day trader might provide some support by entering a buy
order.
Regulations and restrictions
Informal test
As day trading is a very risky trading style, it is not suitable for
everyone. To prevent complete newbies or ignorant traders entering into
the trading market, regulations require firms to test their knowledge
before they are allowed to day trade. However the test is quite simple.
"Pattern day trader" amendments
Main article: pattern day trader
In addition, NASDAQ and NYSE further restrict the entry by means of
"pattern day trader" amendments. Pattern day trader is a term defined
by Securities and Exchange Commission to describe a trader who is
associated with frequent day trading in an account. As the trader is
exposed to the danger of day trading and intraday risks, it is subject
to specific requirements and restrictions.
In order to daytrade, the account must maintain at least US$25,000
worth of equities (where equity includes cash and stock, but does not
include option or warrant), and traders can only trade in margin
accounts for obvious reasons.
|