Currency Day
trading
Day trading refers to the
practice of buying and selling financial instruments within the same
trading day such that all positions will usually (not necessarily
always) be closed before the market close of the trading day.
Traders performing day trading are called daytraders.
Some of the more commonly day-traded financial instruments are
stocks, stock options, currencies, and a host of futures contracts
such as equity index futures, interest rate futures, and commodity
futures.
SEC warnings
According to the US Securities and Exchange Commission, "most
individual investors do not have the wealth, the time, or the
temperament to make money and to sustain the devastating losses that
day trading can bring."
They list several facts that every daytrader should know...
"Be prepared to suffer severe financial losses
Day traders typically suffer severe financial losses in their first
months of trading, and many never graduate to profit-making status."
"Day traders do not 'invest'"
"Day trading is an extremely stressful and expensive full-time job"
"Day traders depend heavily on borrowing money or buying stocks on
margin
Borrowing money to trade in stocks is always a risky business."
"Don't believe claims of easy profits"
"Watch out for 'hot tips' and 'expert advice' from newsletters and
websites catering to day traders"
"Remember that "educational" seminars, classes, and books about day
trading may not be objective"
"Check out day trading firms with your state securities regulator"
Trade frequency
Although collectively called day trading, there are many sub-trading
styles within the whole "day trading" tree. A day trader is not
necessarily very active. Depending on one's trading strategy, it may
range from several to even a hundred orders a day.
Some day traders focus on very short or short-term trading, in which
a trade may last seconds to a few minutes. They buy and sell for
many times, making very high trading volume daily and receiving very
deep discounts from the brokerage.
Some day traders focus on momentum or trend only. They are more
patient and wait for a ride on the strong move which may occur on
that day. They make far fewer trades than the abovesaid day traders.
Overnight positions
Traditionally it is suggested day traders should always settle their
positions before the market close of the trading day to avoid the
risk of price gaps (price differences between previous close and
next day open that it looks like a "gap" between price activities)
at the open. Some day traders consider this as a golden rule which
have to stick with firmly and strictly all the time.
It is thought this rule goes against traditional market wisdom, "let
the profit run". Prematurely closing a position is equal to not
letting your profits run. Thus some day traders advocate it is okay
to stay with a position after the market close as long as it is
stilling a winning position with the trend on your side.
Some day traders borrow money to day trade. Since margin interests
are typically only charged on overnight balances, the extra costs
discourage them to hold positions overnight.
Very risky
Due to the nature of leverage and rapid returns, day trading can be
extremely profitable and high-risk profile traders can generate huge
percentage returns. Some day traders can manage to earn millions per
year solely by day trading.
Nevertheless day trading can become very risky, especially if one
has poor discipline, risk or money management.
The common use of buying on margin (using borrowed funds) amplifies
gains and losses, such that substantial losses or gains can occur in
a very short period of time. In addition, a broker usually allow
more margins for daytraders. Where overnight margin required to hold
a stock position is normally 50% of the stock's value, many brokers
allow pattern day trader accounts to use levels as low as 25% for
intraday purchases. That means even a day trader with the minimum
$25,000 in his account can buy $100,000 worth of stock during the
day, as long as half of those positions are exited before the market
close. Thus a day trader has to admit mistakes quickly and cut
losses fast when the market goes against a position.
It is commonly stated that 80-90% of day traders lose money. An
analysis of the Taiwanese stock market suggests that "less than 20%
of day traders earn profits net of transaction costs".
Popularity
Day trading used to be the preserve of financial firms,
professionals, some savvy private investors and speculators. Many
day traders are professional bank or investment firms employees
working as specialists in equity investment and fund management.
One of the first steps made day trading of shares potentially more
profitable is to change commission scheme. In 1975, the Securities
and Exchange Commission made fixed commissions illegal, giving rise
to discount brokers offering much reduced commission rates.
Electronic developments further helped to promote day trading. One
important step in facilitating day trading was, therefore, the
founding in 1971 of NASDAQ -- a virtual stock exchange on which
orders were transmitted electronically. Moving from paper share
certificates and written share registers to "dematerialized" shares,
computerized trading and registration required not only extensive
changes to legislation but also the development of the necessary
technology: online and real time systems rather than batch;
electronic communications rather than the postal service, telex or
the physical shipment of computer tapes; the development of secure
cryptographic algorithms etc. All have been materialized.
Day trading has become increasingly popular among casual traders due
to the advance in technology, new facilities offered cheaply, and
the popularity of the Internet.
History
Execution process
To understand how day trading has evolved, one must understand how
stocks were traditionally bought and sold. Originally, the most
important US stocks were traded on the New York Stock Exchange. A
trader would telephone a stockbroker, who would relay the order to a
specialist on the floor of the NYSE. These specialists would each
make markets in only one to five stocks. The specialist would match
the purchaser with another broker's seller; write up physical
tickets that, once processed, would effectively transfer the stock;
and relay the information back to both brokers. Brokerage
commissions were fixed at 1% of the amount of the trade, i.e. to
purchase $10,000 worth of stock cost the buyer $100 in commissions.
Financial settlement period
Financial settlement periods used to be long: Before the early 1990s
at the London Stock Exchange, for example, one could buy a stock one
day, and only pay for it as much as 10 working days later, rather
than paying for shares one could sell before the end of the
settlement period reaping the profit or suffering the loss - the
difference between the purchase and sale prices. Similarly, with a
cooperative broker, one could sell shares at the beginning of a
settlement period only to buy them before the end of the period
hoping for a fall in price. This activity then was identical to day
trading now, except for the duration of the settlement period.
Nowadays the settlement period is typically "same day".
The reason settlement periods were reduced was to reduce market
risk. Safe title is only ensured upon settlement. One's counterparty
is much more likely to default if the price moves significantly
against the counterparty. Reducing the settlement period reduces the
likelihood of default. Reducing the settlement period was impossible
until electronic transfer of ownership became possible.
Electronic Communication Networks
Thereafter, the systems by which stocks are traded have evolved
along with the home computer and the internet. A number of
Electronic Communication Networks (ECNs) began to form. These were
essentially large proprietary computer networks on which brokers
could list a certain amount of securities to sell at a certain price
(the asking price or "ask") or offer to buy a certain amount of
securities at a certain price (the "bid"). The first of these was
Instinet. Instinet or "inet"[6] was founded in 1969 as a way for
major institutions to bypass the increasingly cumbersome and
expensive NYSE, and also allowing them to trade during hours when
the exchanges were closed. Ironically, early ECNs such as Instinet
were very unfriendly to small investors, because they tended to give
large institutions better prices than were available to the public.
This resulted in a fragmented and sometimes illiquid market.
The reason for this was that "market makers" had very few
obligations to the public. A market-maker is the NASDAQ equivalent
of a NYSE specialist. It has an inventory of stocks to buy and sell,
and simultaneously offers to buy and sell the same stock. Obviously,
it will offer to sell stock at a higher price than the price at
which it offers to buy. This difference is known as the "spread". A
pure market-maker will not care if the price of a stock goes up or
down, as it has enough stock and capital to constantly buy for less
than it sells. Today there are about 500 firms who participate as
market-makers on ECNs, each generally making a market in four to
forty different stocks.
Without any legal obligations, market-makers were free to offer
smaller spreads on ECNs than on the NASDAQ. A small investor might
have to pay a $0.25 spread (e.g. he might have to pay $10.50 to buy
a share of stock but could only get $10.25 to sell it), while an
institution would only pay a $0.05 spread (buying at $10.40 and
selling at $10.35).
Technology bubble (1997-2000)
In 1997, the SEC adopted "Order Handling Rules" which required
market-makers to publish their best bid and ask on the NASDAQ.
The existing ECNs did an about-face and began to offer their
services to small investors. New brokerage firms began to emerge
which specialized in serving online traders who wanted to trade on
the ECNs. New ECNs also arose, most importantly Archipelago (arca)
and Island (isld). Archipelago eventually became a stock exchange
and in 2005 was purchased by the NYSE. (At this time, the NYSE has
proposed merging Archipelago with itself, although some resistance
has arisen from NYSE members.) Commissions plummeted; in an extreme
example (1000 shares of Google), in 2005 an online trader might buy
$300,000 of stock at a commission of about $10, as opposed to the
$3,000 commission he would have paid in 1974. Moreover, the trader
would be able to buy the stock almost instantly and would get it at
a cheaper price.
ECNs are in constant flux. New ones are formed, while existing ones
are bought or merge. As of the end of 2005, the most important ECNs
to the individual trader are Instinet (which bought Island in 2005),
Archipelago (although technically it is now an exchange rather than
an ECN), and The Brass Utility ("brut"), as well as the SuperDot
electronic system now used by the NYSE.
This combination of factors has made day trading in stocks and stock
derivatives (such as ETFs) possible. The low commission rates allow
an individual or small firm to make a large numbers of trades during
a single day. The liquidity and small spreads provided by ECNs allow
an individual to make near-instantaneous trades and to get favorable
pricing. High-volume issues such as Intel or Microsoft generally
have a spread of only $0.01, so the price only needs to move a few
pennies for the trader to cover his commission costs and show a
profit.
The ability for individuals to day trade coincided with the extreme
bull market in technical issues from 1997 to early 2000, known as
the Dot-com bubble. From 1997 to 2000, the NASDAQ rose from 1200 to
5000. Many naive investors with little market experience made huge
amounts of profits by buying these stocks in the morning and selling
them in the afternoon, at 400% margin rates.
Adding to the day-trading frenzy were the enormous profits made by
the "SOES bandits". (Unlike the new day traders, these individuals
were highly-experienced professional traders able to exploit the
arbitrage opportunity created by SOES.)
In March, 2000, this bubble burst, and a large number of
less-experienced day traders began to lose money as fast, or faster,
than they had made during the buying frenzy. The NASDAQ crashed from
5000 back to 1200; many of the less-experienced traders went broke.
Techniques
There are six common basic strategies by which day traders attempt
to make a profit: Trend following, playing news events, range
trading, scalping, technical trading, and covering spreads. In
addition to or instead of these, some day traders instead use
Contrarian (reverse) strategies (more commonly seen in Algorithmic
trading) to trade specifically against irrational behaviour from day
traders using these approaches. Some of these approaches require
shorting stocks instead of buying them normally.
Trend following
Main articles: Trend following and Trend trading
Trend following, a strategy used in all trading time frames, assumes
that financial instruments which have been rising steadily will
continue to rise, and vice versa. The trend follower buys an
instrument which has been rising, or short-sells a falling one, in
the expectation that the trend will continue.
Range trading
A range trader watches a stock that has been rising off a support
price and falling off a resistance price. That is, every time the
stock hits a high, it falls back to the low, and vice versa. Such a
stock is said to be "trading in a range", which the opposite of
trending. The range trader therefore buys the stock at or near the
low price, and sells (and possibly short sells) at the high. A
related approach to range trading is looking for moves outside of an
established range, called a breakout (price moves up) or a breakdown
(price moves down), and assume that once the range has been broken
prices will continue in that direction for some time.
Playing news
Playing news is primarily the realm of the day trader. The basic
strategy is to buy a stock which has just announced good news, or
short sell on bad news. Such events provide enormous volatility in a
stock and therefore the greatest chance for quick profits (or
losses). Determining whether news is "good" or "bad" must be
determined by the price action of the stock, because the market
reaction may not match tone of the news itself. The most common
cause for this is when rumors or estimates of the event (like those
issued by market and industry analysts) were already circulated
before the official release, and prices have already moved in
anticipation. The news is said to be already "priced-in" to the
stock price.
Scalping
Main article: scalping (trading)
Scalping originally referred to spread trading. Scalping is a
trading style which arbitrage for small price gaps created by the
bid-ask spread. It normally involves establishing and liquidating a
position quickly, usually within minutes to even seconds.
Shorting stocks
About 75% of all trades are to the upside. The trader buys it and
expect it to rise, because of the stock market's historical tendency
to rise and because there are no technical limitations on it.
About 25% of equity trades, however, are short sales. The trader
borrows stock from his broker and sells the borrowed stock, hoping
that the price will fall and he will be able to purchase the shares
at a lower price. There are several technical problems with short
sales: the broker may not have shares to lend in a specific issue,
some short sales can only be made if the stock price or bid has just
risen (known as an "uptick"), and the broker can call for return of
its shares at any time. Some of these restrictions (in particular
the uptick rule) don't apply to trades of stocks that are actually
shares of an exchange-traded fund (ETF).
Keys of success
Day trading is never intended to be an easy game. It is a very
difficult game in which 80-90% of day traders lose. In order to be
successful in day trading, one should satisfy the following
requirements:
Trader's Requirements:
Good Mentality - Day trading is a mentally and psychologically
challenging activity and is by no means meant for everyone
Quick Decision-making - one needs to think very quickly in order to
make prompt and correct decisions.
Fast Reaction - even if one can spot on opportunities very quickly,
it needs fast hands to execute your decisions. Opportunities can be
missed within a second in a rapid market.
Discipline - Day trading requires strong discipline, or one will
easily deviate from what one plans beforehand
Risk and money management - good risk and money management helps to
minimize losses and maximize profits. Some may suggest one should
limit their losses to no more than 2-5% of the working capital on a
single trade. An Anti-Martingale approach to money management will
reduce the chance of devastating losses.
Technical Analysis - Technical analysis is required to gain a
winning edge in the day trading world. Fundamental analysis has
nothing to do with predicting daily or short-term price movements.
Facilities Requirements:
Enough Capital - At least US$25,000 is required for US citizens
according to the US National Association of Securities Dealers, Inc.
(NASD) Rule. Accounts with significantly more balances are better
because this can help day traders to withstand a period of drawdown
from a series of bad trades, and to allow some diversification among
strategies.
Advanced Facilitates and tools - Many day traders use computers,
technical analysis software and the Internet as their main working
tools.
Direct access to the exchange - They need direct access trading
systems to facilitate their trades. They need to know to route their
orders to get the fastest executions and the best prices.
Costs
The financial market is not a zero-sum game as some people may
describe. It is actually a negative-sum game due to transaction
costs. A loser who gives out $100 may transfer only, say, $98 to the
winner, of which $2 are eaten by transaction costs (eg commissions,
exchange fees, data feed and so on).
To succeed in day trading, one needs not only a winning trading
edge, but also reasonable cost control, or the costs will eat up
your profits.
Trading equipment
Some day trading strategies (including scalping and arbitrage)
require relatively sophisticated trading systems and software. Many
day traders use multiple monitors or even multiple computers to
execute their approaches.
A fast Internet connection like Broadband is a must for day traders.
Brokerage
Day traders do not use retail brokers. They are slow to execute
trades, and for the scale of order size the typical day trader
operates on the commissions are high. What day traders prefer are
direct-access brokers who allows the trader to send their orders
directly to the ECNs instead of indirectly through brokers.
Direct-access trading offers substantial improvements in transaction
speed and will usually result in better trade execution prices
(reducing costs of trading).
Commissions
Commissions in direct-access brokers are calculated based on volume.
The more one trades, the cheaper the commission is. Where a retail
broker might charge $10 or more per trade regardless of size, a
typical direct-access broker can charge as cheap as $0.004 per share
traded, or $0.25 per futures contracts. A scalper can easily cover
that cost even with a minimal gain.
As to the calculation method, some use pro-rata to calculate
commissions and charges, where each tier of volumes charge different
commissions. Other brokers use a flat-rate, where all commissions
charges are based on which volume threshold one reaches.
Market data
Real-time market data is necessary for day traders, rather than
using the delayed market data (from about 10 to 60 minutes of delays
per exchange rules[9]) that is available for free. A real-time data
feed requires paying fees to the respective stock exchanges, usually
combined into whatever fee the broker charges; these fees are
usually very low relative to other costs of trading. The fees may be
waived for promotional purposes or for customers meeting a minimum
monthly volume of trades. Even a moderately active day trader can
expect to meet these requirements, making the basic data feed
essentially "free".
In addition to the raw market data, some traders purchase more
advanced data feeds that include better historical data and features
like scanning large numbers of stocks in the live market for unusual
activity. Complicated analysis and charting software are other
popular additions. These types of systems can cost anywhere from
tens to hundreds of dollars per month to access.
Spreads
See also: Scalping
Most worldwide markets operate on a Bid and ask based system. The
numerical difference between the bid and ask prices is referred to
as the spread between them.
The ask prices are immediate execution (market) prices for quick
buyers (ask takers); bid prices for quick sellers (bid takers). If a
trade is executed at market prices, closing that trade immediately
without queuing would not get you back the amount paid because of
the bid/ask difference.
Spread is 2 sides of the same coin. The spread can be viewed as
trading bonuses or costs according to different parties and
different strategies. On one hand, traders who do NOT wish to queue
their order, instead paying the market price, pay the spreads
(costs). On the other hand, traders who wish to queue and wait for
execution receive the spreads (bonuses). Some day trading strategies
attempt to capture the spread as additional, or even the only,
profits for successful trades.
Views of day traders
Day traders, with modern technology and recent regulatory changes
(within the last 15 years), have cut in on the market makers'
business action and taken a piece of the pie for themselves. Some
see this as causing frustration amongst investment banks, who are
thought to vilify day traders in the press. Day traders are
sometimes portrayed as "bandits" or "gamblers" which is thought to
discourage others from joining in on the activity.
On the other hand, others see the phenomenon of day traders as
primarily created by the stock brokerage community, in order to get
people to constantly trade more stocks, and to thereby pay more
commissions. These critics see this as applying to business news and
stations such as CNBC, which is seen as relevant primarily to day
traders.
Lastly, some argue that day traders serve a valuable purpose by
contributing liquidity to the marketplace. In the course of entering
many buy and sell orders throughout the day, day traders add to the
number of people who want to either buy or sell a security, and
therefore increase the number of shares bid or offered. In addition,
day traders might even help to move a particular security closer to
market equilibrium (the point at which supply and demand are equally
balanced, or the "true" price of a security) by reducing
over-corrections in price. As a security moves up in price too
rapidly, for example, a day trader might step in and short the
security, thereby providing some downward pressure. If a security
moves down in price too rapidly, a day trader might provide some
support by entering a buy order.
Regulations and restrictions
Informal test
As day trading is a very risky trading style, it is not suitable for
everyone. To prevent complete newbies or ignorant traders entering
into the trading market, regulations require firms to test their
knowledge before they are allowed to day trade. However the test is
quite simple.
"Pattern day trader" amendments
Main article: pattern day trader
In addition, NASDAQ and NYSE further restrict the entry by means of
"pattern day trader" amendments. Pattern day trader is a term
defined by Securities and Exchange Commission to describe a trader
who is associated with frequent day trading in an account. As the
trader is exposed to the danger of day trading and intraday risks,
it is subject to specific requirements and restrictions.
In order to daytrade, the account must maintain at least US$25,000
worth of equities (where equity includes cash and stock, but does
not include option or warrant), and traders can only trade in margin
accounts for obvious reasons.
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