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Brief history of Forex trading
Initially, the value of goods was expressed in terms of other goods,
i.e. an economy based on barter between individual market participants.
The obvious limitations of such a system encouraged establishing more
generally accepted means of exchange at a fairly early stage in
history, to set a common benchmark of value. In different economies,
everything from teeth to feathers to pretty stones has served this
purpose, but soon metals, in particular gold and silver, established
themselves as an accepted means of payment as well as a reliable
storage of value.
Originally, coins were simply minted from the preferred metal, but in
stable political regimes the introduction of a paper form of
governmental IOUs (I owe you) gained acceptance during the Middle Ages.
Such IOUs, often introduced more successfully through force than
persuasion were the basis of modern currencies.
Before World War I, most central banks supported their currencies with
convertibility to gold. Although paper money could always be exchanged
for gold, in reality this did not occur often, fostering the sometimes
disastrous notion that there was not necessarily a need for full cover
in the central reserves of the government.
At times, the ballooning supply of paper money without gold cover led
to devastating inflation and resulting political instability. To
protect local national interests, foreign exchange controls were
increasingly introduced to prevent market forces from punishing
monetary irresponsibility.
In the latter stages of World War II, the Bretton Woods agreement was
reached on the initiative of the USA in July 1944. The Bretton Woods
Conference rejected John Maynard Keynes suggestion for a new world
reserve currency in favour of a system built on the US dollar. Other
international institutions such as the IMF, the World Bank and GATT
(General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade) were created in the same
period as the emerging victors of WW2 searched for a way to avoid the
destabilising monetary crises which led to the war. The Bretton Woods
agreement resulted in a system of fixed exchange rates that partly
reinstated the gold standard, fixing the US dollar at USD35/oz and
fixing the other main currencies to the dollar - and was intended to be
permanent.
The Bretton Woods system came under increasing pressure as national
economies moved in different directions during the sixties. A number of
realignments kept the system alive for a long time, but eventually
Bretton Woods collapsed in the early seventies following president
Nixon's suspension of the gold convertibility in August 1971. The
dollar was no longer suitable as the sole international currency at a
time when it was under severe pressure from increasing US budget and
trade deficits.
The following decades have seen foreign exchange trading develop into
the largest global market by far. Restrictions on capital flows have
been removed in most countries, leaving the market forces free to
adjust foreign exchange rates according to their perceived values.
But the idea of fixed exchange rates has by no means died. The EEC
(European Economic Community) introduced a new system of fixed exchange
rates in 1979, the European Monetary System. This attempt to fix
exchange rates met with near extinction in 1992-93, when pent-up
economic pressures forced devaluations of a number of weak European
currencies. Nevertheless, the quest for currency stability has
continued in Europe with the renewed attempt to not only fix currencies
but actually replace many of them with the Euro in 2001.
The lack of sustainability in fixed foreign exchange rates gained new
relevance with the events in South East Asia in the latter part of
1997, where currency after currency was devalued against the US dollar,
leaving other fixed exchange rates, in particular in South America,
looking very vulnerable.
But while commercial companies have had to face a much more volatile
currency environment in recent years, investors and financial
institutions have found a new playground. The size of foreign exchange
markets now dwarfs any other investment market by a large factor. It is
estimated that more than USD 3,000 billion is traded every day, far
more than the world's stock and bond markets combined.
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