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Forex Decoded |
Forex Trading
Basics
The global foreign exchange market is the biggest
market in the world. The 3.2 trillion USD daily
turnover dwarfs the combined turnover of all the
world's stock and bond markets.
There are many reasons for the popularity of foreign
exchange trading, but among the most important are
the leverage available, the high liquidity 24 hours
a day and the very low dealing costs associated with
trading.
Of course many commercial organisations participate
purely due to the currency exposures created by
their import and export activities, but the main
part of the turnover is accounted for by financial
institutions. Investing in foreign exchange remains
predominantly the domain of the big professional
players in the market - funds, banks and brokers.
Nevertheless, any investor with the necessary
knowledge of the market's functions can benefit from
the advantages stated above.
In the following article, we would like to introduce
you to some of the basic concepts of foreign
exchange trading. If you would like any further
information, we suggest that you sign up for a FREE
Membership on this website, where you will be able
to exchange views with other Forex traders and get
answers to any questions you might have.
Margin Trading
Foreign exchange is normally traded on margin. A
relatively small deposit can control much larger
positions in the market. For trading the main
currencies, Saxo Bank requires a 1% margin deposit.
This means that in order to trade one million
dollars, you need to place just USD 10,000 by way of
security.
In other words, you will have obtained a gearing of
up to 100 times. This means that a change of, say
2%, in the underlying value of your trade will
result in a 200% profit or loss on your deposit. See
below for specific examples. As you can see, this
calls for a very disciplined approach to trading as
both profit opportunities and potential risks are
very large indeed. Please refer to our page Forex
Rates & Conditions for current Spreads, Margins and
Conditions.
Base Currency and Variable Currency
When you trade, you will always trade a combination
of two currencies. For example, you will buy US
dollars and sell euro. Or buy euro and sell Japanese
yen, or any other combination of dozens of widely
traded currencies. But there is always a long
(bought) and a short (sold) side to a trade, which
means that you are speculating on the prospect of
one of the currencies strengthening in relation to
the other.
The trade currency is normally, but not always, the
currency with the highest value. When trading US
dollars against Singapore dollars, the normal way to
trade is buying or selling a fixed amount of US
dollars, i.e. USD 1,000,000. When closing the
position, the opposite trade is done, again USD
1,000,000. The profit or loss will be apparent in
the change of the amount of SGD credited and debited
for the two transactions. In other words, your
profit or loss will be denominated in SGD, which is
known as the price currency. As part of our service,
Saxo Bank will automatically exchange your profits
and losses into your base currency if you require
this.
Dealing Spread, but No Commissions
When trading foreign exchange, you are quoted a
dealing spread offering you a buying and a selling
level for your trade. Once you accept the offered
price and receive confirmation from our dealers, the
trade is done. There is no need to call an exchange
floor. There are no other time-consuming delays.
This is possible due to live streaming prices, which
are also a great advantage in times of fast-moving
markets: You can see where the market is trading and
you know whether your orders are filled or not.
The dealing spread is typically 3-5 points in normal
market conditions. This means that you can sell US
dollars against the euro at 1.7780 and buy at
1.7785. There are no further costs, commissions or
exchange fees.
This ensures that you can get in and out of your
trades at very low slippage and many traders are
therefore active intra-day traders, given that a
typical day in USDEUR presents price swings of
150-200 points.
Spot and forward trading
When you trade foreign exchange you are normally
quoted a spot price. This means that if you take no
further steps, your trade will be settled after two
business days. This ensures that your trades are
undertaken subject to supervision by regulatory
authorities for your own protection and security. If
you are a commercial customer, you may need to
convert the currencies for international payments.
If you are an investor, you will normally want to
swap your trade forward to a later date. This can be
undertaken on a daily basis or for a longer period
at a time. Often investors will swap their trades
forward anywhere from a week or two up to several
months depending on the time frame of the
investment.
Although a forward trade is for a future date, the
position can be closed out at any time - the closing
part of the position is then swapped forward to the
same future value date.
Interest Rate Differentials
Different currencies pay different interest rates.
This is one of the main driving forces behind
foreign exchange trends. It is inherently attractive
to be a buyer of a currency that pays a high
interest rate while being short a currency that has
a low interest rate.
Although such interest rate differentials may not
appear very large, they are of great significance in
a highly leveraged position. For example, the
interest rate differential between the US dollar and
the Japanese yen has been approximately 5% for
several years. In a position that can be supported
by a 5% margin deposit, this results in a 100%
profit on capital per annum when you buy the US
dollar. Of course, an even more important factor
normally is the relative value of the currencies,
which changed 15% from low to high during 2005 –
disregarding the interest rate differential. From a
pure interest rate differential viewpoint, you have
an advantage of 100% per annum in your favour by
being long US dollar and an initial disadvantage of
the same size by being short.
Please refer to our page Forex Rates & Conditions
for current Spreads, Margins and Conditions!
Such a situation clearly benefits the high interest
rate currency and as result, the US dollar was in a
strong bull market all through 2005. But it is by no
means a certainty that the currency with the higher
interest rate will be strongest. If the reason for
the high interest rate is runaway inflation, this
may undermine confidence in the currency even more
than the benefits perceived from the high interest
rate.
Stop-loss discipline
As you can see from the description above, there are
significant opportunities and risks in foreign
exchange markets. Aggressive traders might
experience profit/loss swings of 20-30% daily. This
calls for strict stop-loss policies in positions
that are moving against you.
Fortunately, there are no daily limits on foreign
exchange trading and no restrictions on trading
hours other than the weekend. This means that there
will nearly always be an opportunity to react to
moves in the main currency markets and a low risk of
getting caught without the opportunity of getting
out. Of course, the market can move very fast and a
stop-loss order is by no means a guarantee of
getting out at the desired level.
But the main risk is really an event over the
weekend, where all markets are closed. This happens
from time to time as many important political
events, such as G7 meetings, are normally scheduled
for weekends.
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